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Silver Holds Near $69 as Solar Demand Tightens Global Supply Deficit

Silver slipped 0.42% to $69.17 USD ($95.04 CAD) per ounce on August 24, 2026, even as a widening structural supply deficit — driven by record photovoltaic demand — keeps the long-term bull case firmly intact.

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a pile of coins sitting on top of a table
Photo by Scottsdale Mint on Unsplash
Key Takeaways
  • Silver fell 0.42% to $69.17 USD ($95.04 CAD) per ounce on August 24, 2026, consolidating just below key $70 resistance.
  • The gold/silver ratio sits at 68.2:1, above its 20-year average, signalling potential relative value in silver versus gold.
  • Record photovoltaic solar demand of 232 million ounces is driving a fourth consecutive year of structural silver supply deficit, estimated at 182 million oz.
  • First Majestic Silver (TSX: FR) is a key Canadian proxy for the trade, with meaningful margins at current spot prices despite Mexico policy risk.

Silver dipped to $69.17 per troy ounce (USD) — or $95.04 CAD at Monday’s prevailing exchange rate of 1.3740 — on August 24, 2026, a modest 0.42% pullback that belies a market increasingly defined by structural undersupply. While gold surged 2.07% to $4,719.70 USD on the same session, silver’s slight lag widened the gold/silver ratio to approximately 68.2:1 — meaning it currently takes just over 68 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold. Historically, that ratio has compressed sharply during silver bull runs, suggesting meaningful catch-up potential if industrial tailwinds intensify.

Solar Panels Are Consuming Silver at a Record Pace

The Silver Institute’s most recent data projects that photovoltaic (PV) solar panel manufacturing will consume a record 232 million ounces of silver in 2026, up roughly 20% from 2024 levels, as governments worldwide accelerate renewable energy buildouts. Each silicon solar cell is screen-printed with silver paste to conduct electricity — and despite years of thrifting efforts by panel manufacturers, per-unit silver consumption has proven stubbornly resilient. Add surging demand from EV powertrains, 5G infrastructure, and consumer electronics, and total industrial silver offtake is on track to exceed 700 million ounces this year alone.

Against that backdrop, mine supply is struggling to keep pace. The Silver Institute estimates a global silver supply deficit of approximately 182 million ounces in 2026 — the fourth consecutive year of structural shortfall. Mine supply disruptions in Mexico — the world’s largest silver-producing nation — including labour stoppages and tightening permitting regimes, have compounded the problem. Above-ground inventories held at the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) have declined steadily throughout the year.

First Majestic Silver: A Canadian Proxy for the Trade

First Majestic Silver Corp. (TSX: FR), one of Canada’s most prominent primary silver producers, remains a closely watched barometer for the silver market. The Vancouver-based miner operates the San Dimas and Santa Elena mines in Mexico, jurisdictions now under increased regulatory scrutiny. First Majestic has guided for silver equivalent production of roughly 30–33 million ounces in 2026, but investors have flagged execution risk tied to Mexico’s evolving mining policy environment. At current spot prices near $69 USD/oz, the company’s all-in sustaining cost (AISC) profile gives it meaningful margin, yet the share price has tracked silver’s recent consolidation.

Pan American Silver (TSX: PAAS) and MAG Silver (TSX: MAG) — the latter advancing its high-grade Juanicipio mine in Zacatecas, Mexico, as a 44% joint-venture partner with Fresnillo — offer investors additional TSX-listed exposure to what many analysts frame as a multi-year structural silver story.

Gold/Silver Ratio Points to Relative Value

At 68.2:1, the current gold/silver ratio sits below its pandemic-era peak of 125:1 but remains well above the 20-year average of roughly 65:1 and far above the 47:1 level silver hit during its last major bull phase in early 2011. Technical analysts note that silver is consolidating just below the psychologically significant $70 USD resistance level. A sustained close above that mark — particularly if accompanied by a breakout in gold, which has already cleared $4,700 USD — could open the door to a rapid re-rating toward the $75–$80 range. Canadian investors watching the CAD equivalent should note that even a modest USD/CAD move toward 1.35 would provide a small additional headwind for CAD-priced returns.

MetricValue
Silver (USD/oz)$69.17 (−0.42%)
Silver (CAD/oz)$95.04
Gold (USD/oz)$4,719.70 (+2.07%)
Gold/Silver Ratio68.2:1
USD/CAD1.3740
2026 PV Silver Demand (est.)232 million oz
2026 Supply Deficit (est.)182 million oz

For Canadian retail investors, the silver thesis is both a macro play on monetary metals — especially as gold’s record run draws attention to the ratio trade — and a structural industrial story that shows no signs of reversing. The key near-term catalyst to watch: whether silver can decisively close above $70 USD before month-end, and whether First Majestic’s next operational update reaffirms its 2026 production guidance.

Dr. Anaya Singh

Boreal Markets Staff

Contributing writer at Boreal Markets.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Boreal Markets and SmallCap Communications Inc. are not registered investment advisers. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.

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